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I searched for R_0 data on flu pandemics and found this:

http://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/healthtopics/documents/0905_pan...

Note the sharp jump as R_0 goes from sub-2 to over-2, which should not be surprising (hand wave about branch processes, light of a thousand suns, etc).

Over to someone better qualified to comment - is the present situation with Ebola taking us into a pandemic territory similar to 1918 H1N1?



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