Absolutely horrifying. Today they are bribing journalists to report on a bomb. T...

kibwen · 2026-03-16T14:47:29 1773672449

Make a bet for "$PUBLIC_FIGURE will be dead by $DATE" and see how quickly people realize that this is just a distributed assassination contract.

jamilton · 2026-03-16T14:59:30 1773673170

Technically any market that's about someone doing something by a certain time can be an assassination contract, if you think the market will it enforce it that way. Can't do it if they're dead.

DANmode · 2026-03-16T17:43:57 1773683037

“Markets related to death are technically not supposed to be allowed at regulated prediction markets in the US.”

https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/the-chaos-of-khamene...

tim333 · 2026-03-16T17:00:27 1773680427

It was kind of close to that betting on Trump to not win the last election - $3.2bn was bet on Trump vs Kamala and there was of course an assassination attempt although not related to the betting.

efdee · 2026-03-16T15:54:58 1773676498

Already banned in several European countries, mostly because of the betting on political events.

bagacrap · 2026-03-16T14:45:30 1773672330

Who needs a bribe when they can participate in the market directly?