mass software-making has been commoditizing for decade+ maybe (~~LEGo-like sticking CRUD APIs), and now ML/LLM jump-accelerate this process. any-API-as-service? combination-there-of? In the terms of wardle-maps, its entering a state of war, and while there will be new things on top of it, the gray-mass will disappear / be unneeded / replaced.
IMO the number and the quality / devotion of programmers will go back to levels of pre-web/js, or even pre-visual-Basic. They would be programming somewhat differently than today. But that's a (rosy) prediction, and it probably is wrong. The not-rosy version is that all common software (and that's your toaster too) will become shitmare, with the consequence everyone will live in order to fix/workaround/"serve"-in-a-way it, instead of using it to live.
IMO the number and the quality / devotion of programmers will go back to levels of pre-web/js, or even pre-visual-Basic. They would be programming somewhat differently than today. But that's a (rosy) prediction, and it probably is wrong. The not-rosy version is that all common software (and that's your toaster too) will become shitmare, with the consequence everyone will live in order to fix/workaround/"serve"-in-a-way it, instead of using it to live.
Or maybe something in the middle?