With respect...Security through obscurity is dead. We are approaching the point where only formally verified (for security) systems can be trusted. Every possible attack will be attempted. Every opening will be exploited, and every useful combination of those exploits will be done.

LLMs are patient, tireless, capable of rigorous opsec, and effectively infinite in number.

You've just described most of the information economy.

"Sora, generate a video of Mickey Mouse beating up Sam Altman."

Crypto is how you can invest in crime without doing crime.

I guess it all depends on the meaning of the word "handle", and what the use cases are.

+1000. Who cares. It's good enough.

Where does "20 years" come from? What's wrong with "10 years"?

At the 200,000 mile mark battery life is expected to be ~85%. That's what actual data shows. 200,000 is 13 years of driving 15,000 miles a year.

https://recharged.com/articles/tesla-model-y-battery-degrada...

I picked 20 years arbitrarily, what I meant is that we don't have data on how modern EV batteries will look when 20 years old, because they have not been around that long.

The whole LFP chemistry is pretty new, on automotive timescales, and lot of the older data on degradation comes from the first few generations of Nissan Leaf, which did not have battery heating and cooling.

Gas powered cars can't fully replace EVs either.

After three years and 50k miles with a Model X, the idea of buying a non-EV seems ridiculous.

I see no reason to downvote this, so I upvote it.

I think you're missing something. This war is an inflection point. Consumer behavior is likely to change after it.

So yes, this is just a transient thing...but I think the effects will be permanent.

The number of people who think they're top tier drivers never ceases to amaze me.

Yes statistics are full of drivers with more than one accidents at fault. 15% of the drivers are causing more than 70% of the accidents.

I don’t care about the average driver. I care about the median.

It is not a high bar to expect an autonomous system to be better than 90% of the American drivers.

Median and average driver are close to identical. This isn't income.

(Edit: I now think my comment above is wrong)

Driver risk is a Pareto distribution.

I mean, if some subset of those 15% used Waymo, we'd be better off, no?