A lot of what the petrochemical industry does took over from other stuff or isn't vital, there just hasn't been enough push back against it.

Stuff like medicine, sure, crucial and very hard to find replacements for.

But single use plastics can probably be replaced 95% (the environment would appreciate it if we banned them), dyes are mostly not vital, synthetic fibers can be replaced 95% with minor critical impact, just using natural fibers, etc.

The petrochemical industry is just the cheapest option in many cases in a world driven by conspicuous consumption of non vital items.

I have never come close to running into any limits using codex with my $20/momth ChatGPT subscription every day

OpenAI is losing massive amounts of money and it needs to pay back hundreds of billions. What do you think will happen to that price 5-10 years from now?

A) Whatever company I’m working for then will pay for it. Right now we get a $1000 a month budget a piece on Claude. I just hardly ever use it.

B) price of computing always comes down and models will be a commodity

C) If I am an independent consultant by then, I’ll just pay for local inference (I work full time for a consulting company now). You can already get a decent local inference Mac for $500/month.

> B) price of computing always comes down and models will be a commodity

Past results are not an indication of future performance. Also funny to say this when hardware costs have spiked.

I have been buying computers myself for over 30 years and before that my parents bought my first two computers in 1986 and 1992 (an Apple //e and then a Mac LCII).

I’ve seen RAM and hard drive spikes plenty of times.

Do you really think the cost of compute is not ever going down? BTW, my second computer was $4000 in 1992 for the full setup - Mac LC II with 10 MB RAM (actually 12 with 10 usable), monitor, Apple //e card, 5-1/4 inch drive for the card, laser printer and SoftPC. Thats over $9000 in today’s dollars.

I made more than that on a three week consulting contract I did when I was between jobs. I wouldn’t hesitate to spend around $8000 on equipment if I went independent.

> they're screwed

Fixed that for you :-)

> the intellectual property issues make commercializing freeform video generation impossible. The more popular your service becomes, the easier it is for lawyers to descend upon you. It's a self-defeating framework.

This risks generalizing to audio and text which would make most LLMs usage unsustainable. I guess time will tell what actually goes through the strainer, long term.

In 1 phrase, the source of most evils in modern society.

A minority of people (shareholders) holding the majority of people (employees) at gunpoint.

They are working for money, not coerced with a gun pointing at them. They are free to leave as they please and often do.

This statement is divorced from the reality of the situation and, frankly, sounds like it comes from a position of privilege. Most job markets are not like the software developer job market where we can just leave and expect to find gainful employment with better pay and better opportunities within a couple of weeks.

The vast majority of people have to work in order to leave and for the same majority leaving employment is not easy and frequently not an option because they risk being unemployed for long periods of time. Or when they do leave the new place is even worse.

*in order to live

As someone 'technical' who sat close to 'normies' who hated the helpdesk guys so much they would interrupt me with their problems, no they do not.

I don't see why the ribbon would be inherently worse than a menu. It's still hierarchical, everything is labeled and has an icon and it's bigger. Oh, and everything has a shortcut that's highlighted...

> Though it won’t be a small class of rich, it will be a couple of overpowerful families only. I don’t think we have any examples to compare too.

A couple of powerful families? Where power is transmitted from generation to generation?

I can't think of any examples either, it's a very novel concept.

Oh, wait. Romanovs. Merovingians. Carolingians. Capetiens. Bourbons. Habsburgs. Hohenzollerns. Tudors.

Extremely novel concept :-)

Your numbers for France don't match anything I can find online.

The number of immigrants per year seems to have been max 340k, about 50% have employment quickly, etc.

You complain about "leftists" but as someone who definitely doesn't want open borders, the general fear in your comment and the numbers that seem made up make your comment read a lot more like (far-) "rightist" stuff.

Linus Torvalds is Finnish.

Guido Van Rossum is Dutch.

Anders Hejlsberg is Danish.

Bjarne Stroustroup is Danish (I think?).

Rasmus Lersdorf is Danish.

Bram Molenaar was Dutch.

Edgar Dijkstra was Dutch.

Niklaus Wirth was Swiss.

Andrei Alexandrescu is Romanian.

I can probably think of many others.

The US is good at inventing things but it's amazing at marketing them and making money and drawing others to do the inventing for them.

How mature is Avalonia for an universal app? Big 3 desktop plus big 2 mobile?

I can't comment on that specifically, but it works with MVVM extensions toolkit, which is handy for decoupling of event handling and is helpful in complex scenario's.

Most import thing to look for are the components you need imho. You can build themselves, but if you can use something ready made, that helps of course. You would best take look at their gallery to see if you see something similar for your needs.