The problem with your idea is there are lots of services that blacklist VoIP #'s like Google Voice from being used for 2FA. They also don't have modern 2FA options like TOTP.
I've seen this manifest itself in various forms. In some ways, it's like the classic pump and dump scam that used to plague the Internet stock forums back in the late 90's. Tokyo Joe, I think his name was, became infamous for using his track record to front run his mostly illiquid OTC stocks. Because people thought he was this great trader, they would plow into his announced picks, creating a surge of volume in these thinly traded stocks, in which Tokyo Joe would sell out and cause a frantic collapse.
Nowadays, though, you see this sort of behavior in legal and more respectable ways. However, I think the purported results are highly disingenuous. What do I mean? Let's use a well known investment advisory service known as AAII.
AAII has a model shadow stock portfolio with fairly well known and transparent stock selection criteria. However, they often announce stock picks and stock sells to their followers within a day, supposedly, of their actual transaction. I've been studying the behavior of their stock pick/sells announcements, and on average, stocks are trading +5% to -5% (depending on whether it was a buy or sell) within the day following the announcement. This is HUGE for many reasons:
1) They often have multiple transactions on the portfolio in any given year.
2) The performance on the portfolio is boosted by, on average, 5% for any buy or sell. Compounded, this makes a big statistically significant difference on their purported shadow stock portfolio's CAGR and strategy.
3) They do not disclaim this behavior as a caveat emptor.
4) Though their strategy is transparent, their data feed / source is not. No one will be able to replicate their stock picks/sells on their own with their own live data source.
I talked to the teacher, and she was definitely confused. If not by the math concepts, then by the common English phrases used in talking about probability.
I'm wondering. Does anyone know if the tumor was cancerous or benign? They say that a lot of women have this, so I'm thinking it's benign like an adenoma, but in which further growth can cause later complications.
Would you really buy bonds in roubles? It seems to me the risk of the currency's value decreasing more than 17% in a year is high enough to offset the attractive interest rate.
Wow, Epiphany. Haven't heard that name in a long time. I used to work at IBM above their office in Campus Dr. in San Mateo. I think they went out of business and that space was later occupied by a staffing agency. I might have run into her before in the lobby. Such a long time ago. Man, time flies.
Yes. Here’s a slapdash translation of the other paragraphs, using a lot of rusty French and a little Google Translate. Let me know if there's anything to correct.
- - -
When I finally made contact with the mathematical world at Paris, one or two years later, I ended up learning, among a lot of other things, that the work that I had done in my area with the means at hand, was (pretty much) something well known to "everybody", under the names of measure theory and of Lebesgue integrals. To the eyes of the two or three seniors to whom I had spoken of this work (or even shown a manuscript), it was a little as if I had simply wasted my time, by re-doing that which was "already known". I do not recall having been disappointed, before. At that moment, the idea of collecting "credit", be it the praise or let alone the interest of others, for the work that I was doing, would have been foreign to my spirit, still. Besides, my energy was well enough spent in familiarizing myself with a completely different milieu, and, more, learning that which was considered at Paris the equivalent of a B.A. in mathematics.
However, in thinking back now on those three years, I realize they were in no way wasted. Without even knowing it, I had learned in solitude that which was essential to the mathematician's work - that which no teacher, truly, could teach. Without ever having it said to me, without having met anyone with whom to share my thirst for knowing things, I was, however, aware, "in my gut", I would say, that I was a mathematician : someone who "did" math, in the full sense of the term - like you "make" love. Mathematics was becoming for me a mistress always welcoming of my desire. Those years of solitude had formed the basis of a confidence which has never been shaken - neither by the discovery (disembarking in Paris at the age of 20 years) of the whole extent of my ignorance and of the immensity of that which it would be necessary to learn : neither (more than 20 years later) by the uproar of my leaving for good the mathematical world ; neither, in these last years, by the frequently pretty crazy events of a certain kind of "burial" (anticipated and painless) of my person and my work, orchestrated by my closest friends of old. . .
- - -
[other paragraphs; see above]
- - -
The infant, he has no difficulty being alone. He is alone by nature, even if occasional company doesn’t displease him and he knows to reach for his mother’s breast, when it’s time to drink. He knows well, without having had it said to him, that the breast is for him, and that he knows how to drink. But often, we have lost contact with that infant in us. And constantly we pass next to better things, without deigning to see. . .
If in these Récoltes et Semailles I address myself to someone other than myself, it’s not to the "public". I address myself to you, who reads me as one person, and to one person alone. It’s to them, and you, who know how to be alone, to the infant, that I would like to speak, and to other people. The infant is often far away, I know it well. There, he’s seen all the colors, for ages and ages. He’s hidden God knows where, and it is easy, often, to stumble upon him. You would swear he’s been dead since forever, that he had never existed at all - but I am sure that he’s there sometimes, and very much alive.
And I know also what the sign is, when I’ve been heard. It’s when, despite all the differences of culture and destiny, that which I’ve said about my person and life finds echo and resonance in you ; when you also find there your proper life, your proper experience of yourself, on a day on which you were not, perhaps, giving attention to it. It doesn’t mean anything along the lines of "identification", to something or someone distant from you. But maybe, a little, that you rediscover your proper life, that which is closest to you, in going over the rediscovery that I did of mine, through the pages in Récoltes et Semailles, and up to these pages that I am in the process of writing even today.
Not true. My sister won a LARGE (over half a million dollars) sexual harassment lawsuit against her employer. In fact, it wasn't an ongoing thing but one incident and the way HR handled this incident. After she left the company, she went back to school and got a job afterwards at a large hospital. She hasn't ever had problems finding employment even though her name is easily Googeable and shows that she won a large settlement against her previous employer.
If everything you state is true, then your sister is the exception to the norm. My wife works in HR and pretty much everything mentioned above is true. There is a very large, fortune-5, company going through a name & blame game with another very large supplier over an ignition switch problem and the PIP process mentioned above is what I've seen too. HR folks are not your friends.
Yes, in many incidences finding another job is not impacted. But if you are in a city with only a handful of tech start ups then chances are you won't work for another one any time soon. I imagine more HN readers work at tech start-ups than hospitals.
As for winning cases and payout sums: your anecdotal data point is your sister. My source is the EEOC. Each field offices investigates hundreds of claims per year but only a few are accepted. The odds of an individual claim being winnable is small.
Winning half a million dollars also sounds made up. According to the legal award limits it is not possible. Then again IANAL.
Reading things like this kinda depresses me. I guess I just don't understand what makes things popular on the web. I mean, I would have never thought things like Twitter, Instagram, all of the various messaging apps would ever get this much traction. I think it's bizarre.
The mistake here is that you are conflating your subjective preference with reality. You are implicitly evaluating something against your own context, but to understand why twitter,etc are successful, you need to ask questions about what OTHER people value, and why they do it.
It's worth noting that most popular web apps today started out as related but different ideas, and it wasn't always a result of some clear-cut vision. Twitter for example was a group SMS service and there was a lot of uncertainty about its actual purpose and utility, even among the founding team:
>>"With Twitter, it wasn't clear what it was. They called it a social network, they called it microblogging, but it was hard to define, because it didn't replace anything. There was this path of discovery with something like that, where over time you figure out what it is. Twitter actually changed from what we thought it was in the beginning, which we described as status updates and a social utility. It is that, in part, but the insight we eventually came to was Twitter was really more of an information network than it is a social network." -Evan Williams
You say that, but it is the same as the dotcom days, everyone thought it was a "new economy", yadda yadda. Right now, ALL these investments are highly speculative. Any of these companies could do a MySpace overnight.
Very much agreed. But think about it - even Myspace was only sold for a little over half a billion. We are orders of magnitude higher now. Holy bubble!
Network effects can be significant. When I want to send out an event invite I use Facebook, not because I think it's better, but because it is what my friends use.
