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Tufts University asked an academic what the financial results were for the UK:

"The British GDP has been reduced by 6–8%, business investment has been reduced by 12%, and trade volume has been reduced by 15%, compared to what it could have been if the U.K. had remained in the EU."

https://now.tufts.edu/2026/06/08/10-years-after-brexit-vote-...


Which is pretty much aligned with what more level-headed people predicted would happen, if my memory is correct. There was a strong push for UK to leave EU, but it was more based on emotion than rational. Of course the 'right' used the narrative of prosperity to get votes, but it never really made sense economically to leave the strong economic power of the EU and try to be independent again.

The UK is not the empire it was once, they need ties with mainland Europe, their closest trading partners, to be economically viable. So this doesn't entirely come as a surprise to me.


>Of course the 'right' used the narrative of prosperity to get votes

They used lies. Literal fabrications out of whole cloth.

They said that the UK was spending hundreds of millions of pounds on the EU, and if they pulled out they could use that money on like the NHS or something.

Lies.


> Which is pretty much aligned with what more level-headed people predicted would happen, if my memory is correct.

Of course this was painted as "project fear", and Michael Gove famously said that people had had enough of experts.


Your username is weirdly on point for discussion of the topic at hand i guess xD

> "The British GDP has been reduced by 6–8%, business investment has been reduced by 12%, and trade volume has been reduced by 15%, compared to what it could have been if the U.K. had remained in the EU."

The average person doesn't care about any of that.

If ~99% of those gains go to ~0.1% of people, the average person does not care.

What they do care about is, did MY expenses go up higher than MY wages. Did MY opportunities get better or worse...

In the UK example, the result is potentially even worse - but I would guess the response to COVID & global wars are likely to have a bigger impact on that than Brexit.


Ah yes, economists are famously capable of accurately projecting a decade in the future.

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The only stupid thing about sanctions on Russia is that they aren't harsh enough.

I 100% agree. They need to be much harsher and will lead to a regime change soon. But not in Russia, but in Germany (AfD), UK (Farage) and France (LePen), as predicted by Emmanuell Todd. ;-)

...how can you wish for such a thing?

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Well, I hope they pay you well to come online and write this nonsense. If you're writing this out of your own free will without compensation then that's just sad.

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>>the hitler bootlicker.

Well, at least Ukrainians aren't publishing state sponsored books about Komrade Hitler like Russia does - the state sponsored revisionism about Hitler happening in Russia right now is insane, I was going to say you forgot that you fought him, but then again, WW2 started by Russia making a pact with Hitler, so maybe actually nothing was forgotten.

>>history like their midget bandera hero

The funny thing is only completely brainwashed Russians seem to care about Bandera at this point, if FSB is providing you with talking points online then they really need to update their guidance. I just find it interesting what is it about HN that makes you guys come out of the woods - surely FSB isn't paying that much to post on random tech forums online? Or is it just paid per hour?


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The EU today is about as far from being an empire as the US was in the "Articles of Confederation" era (roughly 1781-1789):

States are sovreign, the federal body doesn't have direct powers of taxation and the money it does get is what the states tell it it's getting, foreign policy only happens to extent individual states say it does, lacks a fully unified financial system, more about interstate commerce than anything else.

But yes, if you hate that and want to spend 6-8% GDP not having it, this is absolutely within the rights of the people to decide that.

Of course, if they didn't want that and just plain didn't believe the people who accurately explained the cost, that's an argument for undoing it. Lying politicians isn't at all unique here, and unfortunately politicians saying the decision is permanent and irreversable is also not at all unique, but it is anti-democratic.


> submitting to a european continental empire

Moron.


Please don't ever comment like this on HN. It's not what this site is for, and destroys what it is for. This is only a site where anyone wants to participate because others make the effort to do better than this. Please take a moment to read the guidelines and observe them in future. https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

I agree, and I apologize. My emotions overflowed.

That being said – and with no reduction in my apology – I'm very glad to see that the comment my anger was directed at (a wild political statement without anything backing it up or anything contributing to further discussion) was also reprimanded. This kind of "contribution" to the discourse is a major threat to free societies, and should be called out (calling the author a moron is, of course, not the best way of doing that).


Thanks for the contrition.

We hadn't reprimanded that user as yet, not because we regard it as a good comment (we certainly don't), but because we hadn't gotten to it. That's almost always the reason why we may reprimand one comment but not another bad one in a subthread. We're often not reading through subthreads in order of the discussion; we have different views of comments we look at to help us find the worst ones. Often, we get to other comments later, or if not, users who comment like that repeatedly will be reprimanded at another time, and eventually banned if they keep it up.

> This kind of "contribution" to the discourse is a major threat to free societies

I'd appeal to you to be less alarmist about comments posted on a niche tech-focused text-only discussion board. People can have strongly opposing opinions and even unhealthy ways of expressing political positions without necesssarily being "a major threat to free societies".


The first time in history people have been able to accurately predict a counter-factual.

Of course, any economic gains weren't guaranteed and were predicated on competent national government and we saw what happened there.

However, net-net, I'd rather have one shite layer of government, rather than two.


> However, net-net, I'd rather have one shite layer of government, rather than two.

To make a parallel that might work for California or NY. In Europe however there is no single country that is so much better than the others at making money, in the same way as those two. Even countries that didn't enter the EU (Switzerland, Norway) accepted most of the EU regulations because they need some of them.

The UK in that respect already had the sweetest deal of all EU members; and, unlike Switzerland or Norway, actually had a say on the regulations that it had to follow. Plus, they had and have a messy situation due to (non-EU-related and therefore unaffected by Brexit) agreements that the border with Ireland cannot be a customs union, so the only thing a competent national government could do was to tell people they had been duped and promised something impossible. The result would have been a Switzerland- or Norway-like non-membership, with small benefits and less power in the EU.


I took a class in psychology (several decades ago). The professor made the point that babies also babble in a way that reflects their native language.

I think their point was that babbling is an instinctive first step toward trying to communicate. But it also shows how the native language -- what's being spoken around newborns -- is being absorbed.


UPDATED COMMENT: Wikipedia says the 1967 attack on the U.S.S. Liberty was "a mistake due to Israeli confusion about the ship's identity," according to both U.S. and Israeli governments. (Though they also note people who question that conclusion...)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Liberty_incident


Might be an attempt to correct history after the bad fact. There are huge budgets nowadays set up to correct public opinion, e.g. https://www.timesofisrael.com/foreign-ministry-to-receive-ma...

Edit: a more recent article mentions a budget of $730M:

https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-just-quintupled-its-pr-...


But everyone has such budgets, so you could easily argue there's an attempt to revise history in both directions. And I can assure you the sum of the Chinese, Russian, Iranian and gulf budgets far surpass that of Israel's.

Sorry, the linked article shared above is from 2024. Here's a more recent one with a much larger budget for their state propaganda:

https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-just-quintupled-its-pr-...

Not sure if Russia, China and the others you mention spend more (totalled) than $730M?


Despite the budget, that is clearly one thing where Israel has fallen behind its adversaries.

Conspiracies are always possible, but also keep in mind that parking a ship in the middle of a war zone is always a bad idea. In modern conflicts, significant casualities come from friendly fire incidents. If armies cant even consistently not accidentally target their own troops, it seems entirely plausible they accidentally hit a neutral ship hanging out in the middle of a war zone.

I think the biggest issue with this conspiracy theory is why Israel would want to take out the liberty? It seems like the events would be strongly detrimental to Israeli interests. Nobody has really come up with a compelling motive, which suggests to me the most likely scenario is accident/miscommunication.


Public wiki's may be subject to alternate reality. [1]

[1] - https://www.youtube.com/shorts/au7GlkiF2O4


Uh-huh. The official story two very trustworthy sources on the matter. The coverup and silencing of the survivors and threats to their persons and families if they attempted to tell their stories are probably just coincidences.

I got a 581. ("Sharpshooter!") I felt like I was "nerd sniped"... I felt like I really need to see if I could find more words!

   https://xkcd.com/356/
It'd be nice if the results page told me which of my words was the rarest. [Or maybe it did and I just didn't notice?] Also, it took me a while to realize that I didn't have to use one letter from each column. :)

"In the event of a Change in Control, the Operational Milestones shall be disregarded..."

What is TheSciVerse.org? The domain was registered 8 weeks ago. Although The Guardian also covered the study...

___

More recently, attention has shifted beyond the gym. Early research suggests creatine could have a role in cognitive function, with some studies pointing to protection from cognitive decline.

“A few bigger studies have brought it into focus,” says [Bethan Crouse, a sports nutritionist at Loughborough University].

https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2026/may/25/is-it-t...


It's not just if you filed late. It also says payments "due any time within that window were not late until after July 10, 2023."

So for example, if you were a contractor who paid your taxes on April 15 (rather than making quarterly payments).


Shit, that was me. I never pay my quarterly payments, it's easier (for me) to let the government send me a bill lol.


Used to do the same, realized the penalty was so minor compared to my time filing quarterly.


I think the interest rate is 7% so if you have other debts, not making the quarterly payments is probably the cheapest loan you can get.


true enough.


"Russia's stagnating battlefield performance is placing the Kremlin in a worse position to extract major political concessions." -- Institute for the Study of War

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian...


"Crude oil export data suggests the rise in prices, plus the easing of American sanctions on countries buying Russian oil, boosted Russian revenues to 2.3 times their December-February levels in the third week of the Iran war. But in the fourth week, Ukrainian drone strikes on energy-producing infrastructure reduced Russia's earnings by $1bn, eradicating around two-thirds of the previous week's gains."


"...lower than anything seen in the post World War II era, including during the Great Recession, the pandemic downturn and the historic inflation surge afterward."


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