You wrote a lot of words, but none of them describe a slippery slope, or explain how a supposed 10x increase in productivity precludes a 20% reduction in hours worked.
Just this weekend I generated a really detailed breakdown from my Spotify dump, it's unfortunate they hide so much of the interesting stuff in a dump that takes a week+ to get access to: https://6fce3ff2.spotifyguy94-dashboard.pages.dev
The advertising profile was especially interesting since a) I don't think the brands expected anyone outside of their marketing teams to see some of these names b) I've had premium for most of the time I've used Spotify, but they're still putting in full effort on generating an ad profile in case that ever changes
> +20% speed for +20% spend isn't going to motivate a trillion dollars a year in spending.
I'm increasingly realizing this math is wrong, because LLM use is really sticky.
If Anthropic 100x'd prices tomorrow for their best model, so some companies offered 50% salary to keep 100% of your AI usage:
a) There are programmers who would take this deal. They've gotten to the point of doing what feels like even less than 50% of the work, developers were already pretty well paid, so they'll take it.
b) There are companies that'd offer this deal. Even if the only people who are taking this deal are not the best engineers, and the AI output is not the greatest, I think the last 6 or so years have seen a lot of companies realize capitalism is not as competitive as it seems.
They're not worried about putting out a worse product because... frankly, what else are you going to do? CF lay a bunch of people off, support gets awful: well you're probably not building a new Cloudflare in the next few years.
In the meantime the AI will get incrementally better, their market share will grow, and you won't be able to compete without taking the same faustian bargain.
-
Maybe I was just naive but it's making me realize how much we take for granted in the world. Both the quality and relative value of things don't have to go up over time. Quality can go down while prices go up, and nothing will really stop it. Competition should stop it, but competition is really slow and can be interfered with. And as prices go up competition gets really hard.
I have one and think it's meh. The display is great, but the lenses are a let down and the FOV is not great for using a (simulated) large monitor.
I only use it when traveling. It's not better than a high quality computer monitor for coding for me, and I'd expect the same to be true for most.
Also a bit meta but... if you ask a question that involves using the AVP in 2026, you're mostly getting answers from a minority of die hards.
Anyone else has probably left theirs sitting around gathering dust for a while now. Last I checked there are actually fewer AVP apps over time, so this isn't exactly a thriving platform.
This finally put a nail in the coffin for my hope we'll ever get a Twilio for iMessage
For me, Twilio for iMessage would mean a DX-first product, highly prototyping friendly, etc... When I was exploring options for a B2C app a while back SendBlue made me sit in a call with a sales person then wanted some 5 figure outlay to start stated...
I'm finally accepting that because of the bootleg nature of programmatic iMessage, any company in the space has to be really aggressive with vetting, which in turn means replacing the "Get Your API Key" button with a "Call Us" button: which is the opposite of what Twillo was great at.
Apple Messages for Business has been around for a while, but it's mostly for communicating with a corporation vs consumer products. And iOS presents it like a support chat instead of a normal conversation.
They position it as "Apple user to business communication." They don't limit it to customer service/tech support. Bllie Eillish and the Haas F1 team just launched a fan experiences on it. Saw The Nudge is on it as well, which was a big upgrade from their old SMS experience.
You're trying to figure out what it is incrementally, and I'm telling you Apple Messages for Business is ancient news and isn't fit for the purpose described: https://www.apple.com/ios/business-chat/
The "experiences" are not normal 1:1 iMessage conversations. You're joining an outreach channel, and only large corporations (that includes whoever does distribution for Billie Eilish) qualify.
Proper consumer apps like:
- tomo.ai
- poke.com
- fractal.space
Are all building on services that give you an actual iMessage phone number, and those are what I'd like to see actually offer self-serve one day, just like SMS.
reply